Gulf Shores, Alabama 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

291
FXUS64 KMOB 250518
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1118 PM CST Wed Dec 24 2025

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1114 PM CST Wed Dec 24 2025

  - Dense fog will reduce visibilities across the area each
    night through the weekend. This will result in hazardous
    travel and motorists are urged to use caution when driving.
    Dense marine fog will also persist through the remainder of
    the week.

  - Well above average temperatures are expected to continue
    through the remainder of Christmas week and into the weekend.
    A strong cold front brings an end to this warmth Sunday
    night, with cold weather products potentially being needed for
    Monday and Tuesday nights.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1114 PM CST Wed Dec 24 2025

An anomalously strong upper ridge anchored over the central US
continues to be the dominant synoptic feature over our area
through Sunday. This, along with surface high pressure directly
overhead, is giving way to a warm and humid Christmas week. The
primary impact we continue to monitor is the development of dense
fog each night through Saturday night. Satellite imagery at
issuance time shows that fog has already developed across much of
the area, including over our local bays, sounds, and adjacent
nearshore Gulf waters, and numerous observation sites have already
dropped to a quarter mile visibility or less. A Dense Fog
Advisory remains in effect for all land areas through 11 AM. In
addition, a Marine Dense Fog Advisory is in effect for all local
bays and sounds, and nearshore Gulf waters out 20 NM through Noon
for visibilities dropping to below 1 nautical mile. Similar to
yesterday, considering that dew points today are forecast to rise
into the low to mid 60s during the daytime hours, moving over
water temps in the upper 50s, cannot rule out the possibility of
dense sea fog lingering into the afternoon hours. We will monitor
satellite/observations throughout the day and, if necessary, will
extend the Marine Dense Fog Advisory. Additional advisories will
likely be needed for tonight. Highs through Sunday will top out in
the mid to upper 70s (low 70s along the immediate coast) and lows
through Saturday night will only drop into the 50s.
Climatologically speaking, these temperatures are roughly 10-15
degrees above average over coastal counties and an impressive
15-20 degrees above average for interior counties.

The pattern finally begins to change by next week as a longwave
trough deepens over the eastern US. This trough will help to send a
strong cold front southward, sweeping through the local area
sometime late Sunday night/early Monday morning. At this point,
guidance suggests that the best forcing from the upper trough looks
to remain well to the north of the local area. That being said,
moisture pooling out ahead of the front should help to support the
development of some scattered shower activity. Once the front passes
through, a much colder and drier airmass filters in from the north.
Temperatures early next week will plummet by roughly 20 to 30
degrees from where they were over the weekend! In fact, we may even
need to consider cold weather products for Monday and Tuesday
nights, with wind chills potentially dropping into the teens and
lower 20s. We look to close out 2025 with highs in the 50s and lows
in the 20s and 30s. A Low Risk of rip currents will be in place
through the period. /96

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1114 PM CST Wed Dec 24 2025

Dense fog continues to develop across the local region at issuance
time, with many sites experiencing VLIFR conditions. Fog should
remain in place through the night and into the late morning hours
before dissipating sometime between 16z-18z. VFR conditions should
briefly return during the afternoon hours for much of the area.
However, a few localized spots of IFR or lower visibilities could
linger through the afternoon along the immediate coast due to
dense sea fog continuing over local area bays and sounds. Another
round of dense fog should develop this evening. Calm winds this
morning will become a light southwesterly flow by this afternoon.
/96

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1114 PM CST Wed Dec 24 2025

Dense sea fog will continue to develop each night through
the remainder of the week across local area bays and sounds, as well
as the nearshore Gulf waters. Light and variable winds today will
become a light southwesterly flow tonight. This pattern will
continue through the remainder of the week and into the weekend. /96

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      74  54  73  56 /   0   0   0   0
Pensacola   72  55  72  57 /   0   0   0  10
Destin      72  57  69  57 /   0   0   0  10
Evergreen   77  52  76  52 /   0   0   0   0
Waynesboro  74  52  74  55 /   0   0   0   0
Camden      74  52  74  53 /   0   0   0   0
Crestview   76  52  75  51 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...Dense Fog Advisory until 11 AM CST Thursday for ALZ051>060-
     261>266.

FL...Dense Fog Advisory until 11 AM CST Thursday for FLZ201>206.

MS...Dense Fog Advisory until 11 AM CST Thursday for MSZ067-075-076-
     078-079.

GM...Dense Fog Advisory until noon CST Thursday for GMZ630>636-650-
     655.

&&

$$